In a dramatic and decisive political verdict, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is storming back to power in Bihar, heading towards a massive victory that has surpassed even the most optimistic projections. Mirroring its historic performance in the 2010 elections, the NDA coalition has crossed the 200-seat mark, establishing an unassailable majority in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly.
As per the latest trends from the Election Commission, the Nitish Kumar-led alliance is leading in a combined total of 203 seats, poised to touch or even surpass its 2010 tally of 206. This result marks a spectacular comeback from the 2020 elections, where the NDA had managed a narrow majority of 125 seats.
The NDA Juggernaut: A Coalition in Sync
The victory is powered by unexpectedly strong performances from both its key constituents, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Janata Dal (United). The BJP has emerged as the larger partner within the alliance, leading in 91 seats, a significant jump from the 74 it won in 2020. However, the story of the election is the remarkable resurgence of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's JD(U), which is leading in 80 seats—a stunning gain of 40 seats from its 2020 tally of 43.
The NDA's other allies have also contributed handsomely. The Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), which contested alone in 2020 and won a single seat, has found its footing within the alliance and is leading in 22 seats. The Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) is leading in 5 seats.
This collective performance underscores a consolidated vote for the NDA and a resounding endorsement of Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's leadership and his last-minute switch back to the BJP-led alliance, which has clearly paid rich electoral dividends.
Mahagathbandhan Crumbles, RJD Bears the Brunt
In a stark contrast, the opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is facing a catastrophic collapse. The alliance, which put up a fierce fight in 2020 and won 110 seats, is currently leading in just 35 seats.
The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), which was the single largest party in the last assembly with 75 seats, has been decimated, leading in only 26 seats—a loss of 49 seats. The Congress party, a key ally, has also been severely weakened, leading in just 4 seats compared to the 19 it won in 2020.
The Left parties, which were a surprise package in 2020 with a combined tally of 16 seats, have been nearly wiped out, leading in only 3 seats this time.
A Tale of Two Elections: 2020 vs. 2025
The scale of the NDA's victory becomes even clearer when comparing the two elections:
2020: A nail-biting contest where the NDA won 125 seats and the MGB 110, with a mere 11,150-vote difference in the total vote share.
2025: A one-sided landslide, with the NDA nearly doubling its seat count and the MGB's tally reduced to a third of its previous strength.
The JD(U)'s revival from 43 to 80 seats and the BJP's growth from 74 to 91 have been the primary engines of this massive shift. The strategic inclusion of the LJP into the alliance fold has further amplified the coalition's dominance.
What This Verdict Means
This electoral outcome sends several powerful messages:
The Nitish Kumar Gambit Vindicated: Nitish Kumar's decision to re-join the NDA has been overwhelmingly validated by the electorate, securing his position as Bihar's paramount leader.
BJP's Unshakeable Base: The BJP has not only held its ground but expanded it, proving its organizational strength and the enduring appeal of its national narrative.
Collapse of the Mandal Plank? The RJD's drastic fall suggests a significant erosion of its traditional social justice plank and an inability to counter the NDA's combined social and developmental appeal.
The End of a Fierce Rivalry: The result firmly re-establishes the NDA's hegemony in Bihar, reducing the once-dominant RJD to a distant second and potentially reshaping the state's political landscape for years to come.
As the trends solidify into results, Bihar is set for another term under an NDA government with a commanding mandate, one that promises stability but also carries the heavy weight of immense public expectation.
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