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From Hormuz to Bab el-Mandeb: West Asia Conflict Threatens Oil Lifelines

From Hormuz to Bab el-Mandeb: West Asia Conflict Threatens Oil Lifelines

Saudi Arabia’s decision to temporarily halt operations on its vital East-West oil pipeline has intensified concerns over the security of global energy supplies, coming just a day after the facility was targeted in a drone attack. The development assumes greater significance as the wider West Asia conflict threatens two of the world’s most important oil and shipping corridors—the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb—raising the prospect of fresh disruptions and another sharp spike in crude prices.

 

Saudi Arabia has temporarily suspended the operation of its 1,200-kilometre East-West oil pipeline following a drone attack on the facility, with the Ministry of Energy describing the move as a precautionary step. The decision comes at a particularly sensitive time for international energy markets, as the conflict in West Asia continues to place pressure on critical oil transportation routes.

The East-West pipeline, also known as the Petroline, has emerged as a crucial alternative for Saudi Arabia when shipping through the Strait of Hormuz faces disruption. Stretching from the Kingdom’s eastern oil-producing region to the Red Sea coast, the pipeline enables Saudi crude to reach international markets without passing through Hormuz.

In recent months, the pipeline has reportedly carried between 4 million and 5 million barrels of oil per day. That volume represents roughly 4 to 5 per cent of global oil supply, making any prolonged interruption potentially significant for international markets.

Saudi Arabia has blamed the latest drone attack on drones originating from Iraq. Baghdad has condemned the assault and ordered an investigation, underlining the widening regional security implications of attacks on energy infrastructure.

The pipeline shutdown is unfolding alongside another potentially serious development on the southern side of the Arabian Peninsula. Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen have reportedly captured the port of Mokha and the strategically important island of Perim in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Forces loyal to Yemen’s internationally recognised government were said to have withdrawn from Perim, while the Houthis also reportedly seized Dhubab on the mainland opposite the island.

The developments are particularly concerning because Bab el-Mandeb is one of the world's major maritime gateways. The narrow passage connects the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and provides a vital route for vessels travelling between Europe and Asia. Any sustained threat to shipping through the strait could therefore have consequences far beyond the region.

The possibility of simultaneous pressure on Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb presents a major strategic challenge for global energy security. The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial route for oil and gas exports from the Gulf, while Bab el-Mandeb is an important gateway for energy shipments and wider commercial trade between the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean.

For Iran and its regional allies, control or disruption of these maritime corridors could create significant leverage. Restricting energy flows through more than one major route would tighten supplies, increase transportation risks and potentially push crude prices higher, adding to inflationary pressures across importing economies.

Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline has consequently assumed even greater importance. Its ability to bypass Hormuz provides the Kingdom with an alternative mechanism for maintaining exports when maritime traffic through the Gulf is threatened.

But the latest drone attack demonstrates that even this alternative route is vulnerable to regional instability. A prolonged shutdown would reduce Saudi Arabia’s flexibility at precisely the moment when alternative supply routes are becoming increasingly valuable.

For major oil-importing countries, including India, the situation presents another layer of uncertainty. Any sustained reduction in global oil flows could raise crude prices, increase freight and insurance costs and place additional pressure on economies heavily dependent on imported energy.

The emerging picture is therefore not simply one of isolated attacks on infrastructure or territory. It is increasingly a contest over the strategic arteries through which the world’s energy moves. With Hormuz under pressure, Bab el-Mandeb facing a fresh Houthi challenge and Saudi Arabia forced to temporarily suspend a key alternative pipeline, the risks to global oil security are becoming increasingly interconnected.

The central concern for international markets now is whether these disruptions remain temporary or develop into a broader campaign capable of affecting multiple energy corridors simultaneously. If the latter happens, the consequences could extend well beyond West Asia, making oil prices, shipping costs and energy security major global economic concerns.

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